Is Singapore Property Worth Buying with 60% ABSD? 2026 Analysis
Back to all articles
Foreign Buyers13 min read

Is Singapore Property Worth Buying with 60% ABSD? 2026 Analysis

H

Homejourney Editorial

Complete 2026 analysis: Is Singapore property worth buying with 60% ABSD? Homejourney breaks down costs, ROI, and investment viability for foreign buyers.

Is Singapore Property Worth Buying with 60% ABSD? 2026 Investment Analysis

The short answer: Singapore property remains a viable investment despite the 60% ABSD for foreign buyers, but only if you understand the true cost of ownership, realistic returns, and your investment timeline. The 60% Additional Buyer's Stamp Duty (ABSD) significantly increases upfront costs, yet Singapore's limited property supply, stable market fundamentals, and strategic location continue to attract serious investors. Whether it's worth buying depends entirely on your financial capacity, investment horizon, and specific property selection.

At Homejourney, we've analyzed thousands of property transactions and investor profiles to create this definitive guide. We prioritize helping you make informed decisions through transparent data, verified information, and honest cost-benefit analysis. This comprehensive guide walks you through the ABSD impact, financial viability, market conditions in 2026, and the decision framework you need to determine if Singapore property investment makes sense for your situation.



Table of Contents



Executive Summary: 2026 Market Outlook for Foreign Buyers

Singapore's property market in 2026 presents a paradox: prices are projected to rise moderately (3-4% annually for most segments), yet the 60% ABSD creates a significant headwind for foreign buyers. The Residential Property Price Index is forecasted to reach 231.00 points in 2026, up from 210.70 points in Q1 2025, representing a 9.6% increase over 12 months. However, this appreciation must be weighed against the substantial upfront ABSD cost that foreign buyers face.

The 2026 market is characterized by limited new supply, flight-to-quality trends, and differentiated appreciation by location and property type. For foreign buyers specifically, this means selective opportunities exist—but they require strategic positioning and careful financial planning. Properties in prime locations and newly launched developments are more likely to outperform, while fringe area properties may see muted appreciation that doesn't justify the ABSD burden.

Key market dynamics favoring foreign investment: Singapore's safe-haven appeal continues attracting global capital inflows, the government's commitment to releasing 25,000 new private homes through the Government Land Sales (GLS) programme provides supply stability, and interest rates are easing, supporting market expansion. Key headwinds: economic uncertainty, potential foreign buyer pullback, and the concentration of supply in suburban areas rather than prime central locations where foreign investors typically focus.



Understanding the 60% ABSD: What It Really Costs You

What Is ABSD and Why Is It 60% for Foreigners?

The Additional Buyer's Stamp Duty (ABSD) is a tax imposed on property purchases in Singapore. For foreign buyers, the rate is 60% of the property purchase price, making it one of the highest property acquisition costs in the world. This was implemented to cool demand from foreign investors and protect the local property market for Singaporean citizens and permanent residents.

The ABSD is calculated on the purchase price (not including agent commissions or legal fees) and is payable within 14 days of the option to purchase. Unlike the Basic Stamp Duty (BSD) which applies to all buyers, ABSD is an additional tax specifically targeting foreign and non-resident buyers.

Real Cost Example: $1 Million Property

Let's illustrate the true cost of ABSD with a concrete example. If you're purchasing a $1 million property in Singapore as a foreign buyer:

  • Purchase Price: $1,000,000
  • Basic Stamp Duty (BSD): $13,500 (sliding scale)
  • Additional Stamp Duty (ABSD) at 60%: $600,000
  • Legal Fees: $2,000-$3,500
  • Agent Commission: $15,000-$20,000 (1.5% typical)
  • Property Tax (first year): $3,000-$5,000
  • Total Upfront Costs: $633,500-$641,500
  • Percentage of Purchase Price: 63.4% to 64.2%

This means you're paying nearly two-thirds of your entire purchase price just to acquire the property. To break even on this investment, the property would need to appreciate significantly just to cover the ABSD cost, let alone generate positive returns.

ABSD Comparison: Foreigners vs Citizens vs PRs

Buyer CategoryABSD RateOn $1M PropertyTotal Acquisition Cost
Singapore Citizen (1st property)0%$0~$20,500
Singapore Citizen (2nd property)7%$70,000~$90,500
PR (1st property)5%$50,000~$70,500
PR (2nd property)10%$100,000~$120,500
Foreigner60%$600,000~$640,500

The comparison is stark: a Singaporean citizen buying their first property pays only $20,500 in acquisition costs, while a foreigner pays $640,500 for the identical property. This 31x cost difference fundamentally changes the investment calculus and is the primary reason foreign buyers must be significantly more strategic in their property selection.

When Is ABSD Payable and Can It Be Avoided?

ABSD is payable within 14 days of the option to purchase being exercised. There is no legal way to avoid ABSD if you're a foreign buyer purchasing residential property in Singapore. However, there are specific property types and situations where ABSD doesn't apply or is lower—which we'll explore in the property segments section.



Financial Viability Analysis: ROI and Break-Even Calculations

The Break-Even Problem: How Much Appreciation Do You Need?

The fundamental challenge with the 60% ABSD is the break-even problem. You must achieve significant property appreciation just to recover your upfront ABSD cost. Let's analyze the mathematics:

For a $1 million property with $600,000 in ABSD, you need the property to appreciate by 60% just to break even (ignoring holding costs, taxes, and financing costs). At Singapore's projected 2026 appreciation rate of 3-4% annually, this would take approximately 15-20 years to break even on the ABSD alone.

However, this analysis assumes you're holding the property for appreciation only. The real financial viability depends on whether you're also generating rental income, which significantly changes the equation.

Scenario 1: Pure Appreciation Strategy (No Rental Income)

If you're buying purely for price appreciation with no rental income:

  • Purchase Price: $1,000,000
  • ABSD Cost: $600,000
  • Annual Appreciation (3%): $30,000/year
  • Years to Break Even: 20 years
  • Annual Holding Costs (property tax, maintenance): ~$5,000-$8,000/year
  • Adjusted Break-Even Timeline: 22-25 years
  • Verdict: Not viable for most investors with 10-15 year horizons

This scenario reveals why pure appreciation strategies rarely justify the 60% ABSD. You're essentially betting on 20+ years of consistent 3-4% annual appreciation while paying holding costs, with no income to offset those costs.

Scenario 2: Appreciation + Rental Income Strategy

This is where the investment thesis becomes more compelling. If you can generate rental income while holding the property:

  • Purchase Price: $1,000,000
  • ABSD Cost: $600,000
  • Gross Rental Yield (2-3%): $20,000-$30,000/year
  • Net Rental Yield (after 25% expenses): $15,000-$22,500/year
  • Annual Appreciation (3%): $30,000/year
  • Total Annual Return: $45,000-$52,500/year (4.5-5.25%)
  • Years to Break Even on ABSD: 11-13 years
  • Verdict: More viable for 15+ year investment horizons

With rental income included, the investment becomes more attractive. You're generating 4.5-5.25% annual returns (appreciation + rental income combined), which means breaking even on ABSD in 11-13 years. This is still longer than typical investment horizons, but more achievable.

Scenario 3: Premium Location Strategy (Higher Appreciation)

The most viable scenario for foreign buyers involves purchasing in premium central locations where appreciation rates exceed the 3-4% average:

  • Purchase Price: $1,000,000 (central location property)
  • ABSD Cost: $600,000
  • Annual Appreciation (5-6%): $50,000-$60,000/year
  • Net Rental Yield (2-3%): $15,000-$22,500/year
  • Total Annual Return: $65,000-$82,500/year (6.5-8.25%)
  • Years to Break Even on ABSD: 7-9 years
  • Verdict: Most viable for investors with 10+ year horizons

This scenario demonstrates why foreign buyers should focus on premium properties in prime locations. Higher appreciation rates combined with rental income create a more compelling investment thesis that justifies the 60% ABSD burden.

Total Cost of Ownership: Beyond ABSD

The ABSD is only part of your total ownership costs. When evaluating whether Singapore property is worth buying, consider the complete cost picture:

  • Acquisition Costs (Year 1): ABSD (60%), BSD (~1.3%), legal fees ($2,000-$3,500), agent commission (1.5%), property inspection ($500-$1,000) = Total: ~64% of purchase price
  • Annual Holding Costs: Property tax (0.3-0.5%), maintenance and repairs (0.5-1%), insurance ($500-$1,500), condo fees if applicable ($200-$500/month)
  • Financing Costs: If using a mortgage, interest payments (typically 2.5-3.5% annually) on 70-80% LTV
  • Selling Costs (upon exit): Agent commission (1.5%), legal fees ($2,000-$3,500), potential capital gains tax considerations
  • Currency Risk (if foreign investor): SGD appreciation/depreciation against your home currency

The total cost of ownership over a 10-year holding period could easily reach 75-85% of your initial purchase price when all factors are included. This reinforces the need for properties with strong appreciation potential and/or rental income to justify the investment.



Singapore Property Market Conditions in 2026

Overall Market Outlook: Moderate Growth with Differentiation

Singapore's property market in 2026 is projected to experience moderate price appreciation of 3-4% annually for most segments, with significant variation by location and property type. The Residential Property Price Index is forecasted to reach 231.00 points in 2026, up from 210.70 points in Q1 2025. This represents meaningful but measured appreciation—not the explosive growth of 2021-2022, but stable, sustainable gains.

The market is characterized by a "flight-to-quality" trend where prime locations, newly launched developments, and properties with limited supply significantly outperform fringe and older properties. This is crucial for foreign buyers: your property selection matters far more than general market direction.

Supply Dynamics: Limited New Launches

One of the most important factors supporting property values is the limited supply of new residential developments. The government's Government Land Sales (GLS) programme is releasing approximately 25,000 new private homes through 2025-2027, with about 15,245 units expected in 2026-2027. However, this supply is concentrated in suburban areas like Tengah and Bayshore, not in prime central locations where foreign investors typically focus.

For landed properties specifically, the supply constraint is even more acute. Only 73,000 landed properties are projected to exist in Singapore over the next 15 years, compared to 500,000 condominiums. This inelastic supply creates fundamental support for landed property prices, making them particularly attractive for long-term investors despite higher purchase prices.

Regional Performance: Where Appreciation Is Strongest

The Central Region (CR), encompassing prime districts like Orchard, Marina Bay, and Sentosa, is projected to lead price appreciation in 2026. These areas benefit from limited new supply due to land scarcity, strong international investor demand despite ABSD constraints, premium positioning and lifestyle amenities, and the flight-to-quality trend favoring established prime locations.

Non-landed properties (condominiums and apartments) led growth in 2025 with a 4.74% year-on-year increase, while landed properties showed more modest gains of 0.38% quarter-on-quarter. However, this divergence is expected to narrow in 2026 as supply constraints support landed property appreciation. For foreign buyers, this suggests that landed properties in prime locations offer better value and appreciation potential than suburban condominiums.

Interest Rate Environment: Favorable for Borrowing

Singapore's interest rates are easing in 2026, with the Singapore Dollar interest rate environment supporting lower borrowing costs. This creates a favorable environment for property financing, particularly for foreign buyers who can access mortgages at competitive rates. Lower borrowing costs reduce your annual holding costs and improve overall investment returns.

Current mortgage rates for foreign buyers typically range from 2.5-3.5% annually, depending on the bank and loan terms. Check Bank Rates for current rates from Singapore's major banks and how they compare for foreign buyers specifically.

Economic Fundamentals: Stable but Cautious

Singapore's economic outlook for 2026 is stable with GDP growth forecast at 2.2%. While not robust, this stability provides confidence in the property market's fundamentals. Singapore continues to attract capital inflows due to its safe-haven appeal, strong governance, and strategic location. However, global economic uncertainties and potential foreign buyer pullback remain risks to monitor.



Which Property Types Offer Best Value for Foreign Buyers?

Condominiums in Prime Central Locations

Appreciation Potential: 4-6% annually in 2026 and beyond
Rental Yield: 2.5-3.5% gross
ABSD Impact: Full 60% applies
Best For: Investors seeking balance of appreciation and rental income with urban convenience

Prime central condominiums in districts like Orchard, Marina Bay, and Bukit Timah offer the most compelling investment case for foreign buyers. These properties benefit from limited supply (especially newly launched developments), strong rental demand from expatriates, and consistent price appreciation. The combination of 4-6% annual appreciation plus 2.5-3.5% rental yield creates total annual returns of 6.5-9.5%, which justifies the 60% ABSD over a 10-12 year investment horizon.

Newly launched developments in prime locations are particularly attractive because they offer modern amenities, lower maintenance issues, and often appreciate faster than older buildings. Check Projects for newly launched projects in prime central locations and their expected completion dates.

Landed Properties in Prime Locations

Appreciation Potential: 4-6% annually in 2026 and beyond
Rental Yield: 2-3% gross
ABSD Impact: Full 60% applies
Best For: Investors seeking maximum appreciation with limited supply advantage

Landed properties represent the "cream of the crop" in Singapore's property market due to fundamental supply constraints. With only 73,000 landed properties projected to exist over the next 15 years, the supply-demand imbalance creates strong price support. Prime location landed properties (Tanglin, Bukit Timah, Sentosa Cove) appreciate at 4-6% annually and maintain strong rental demand.

The trade-off: landed properties have higher purchase prices and lower rental yields (2-3%) compared to condominiums. However, the superior appreciation potential and scarcity value make them excellent long-term holds for investors with substantial capital. Landed properties also offer greater privacy and control, which appeals to certain investor profiles.

Executive Condominiums (ECs) - Limited Foreign Buyer Access

Appreciation Potential: 2-3% annually
Rental Yield: 2-2.5% gross
ABSD Impact: Full 60% applies
Best For: Not recommended for foreign buyers

Executive Condominiums are a hybrid housing type targeting HDB upgraders. While foreign buyers can purchase ECs after the 5-year minimum occupation period has elapsed, the appreciation potential is limited (2-3% annually) and rental yields are modest. Given the 60% ABSD, ECs don't offer compelling returns for foreign investors. The break-even timeline would exceed 20 years, making this an inefficient use of capital.

Suburban Condominiums - Proceed with Caution

Appreciation Potential: 1-2% annually
Rental Yield: 2-2.5% gross
ABSD Impact: Full 60% applies
Best For: Not recommended for foreign buyers due to ABSD burden

Suburban properties in areas like Jurong, Bukit Panjang, and Clementi offer lower purchase prices but significantly lower appreciation potential. With only 1-2% annual appreciation and 2-2.5% rental yields, total returns of 3-4.5% annually don't justify the 60% ABSD burden. You'd need 25-30 years to break even on the ABSD cost alone, making this an inefficient investment for foreign buyers.

The government's GLS programme is releasing more than 9,000 new private homes in suburban areas during 2026, which will further pressure appreciation in these segments. Foreign buyers should avoid suburban properties unless they have specific reasons (e.g., developing the area, long-term 30+ year hold).

Property Type Comparison Table

Property TypeAnnual AppreciationRental YieldBreak-Even TimelineForeign Buyer Rating
Prime Central Condo4-6%2.5-3.5%9-11 years★★★★★
Prime Landed Property4-6%2-3%10-13 years★★★★★
Executive Condo2-3%2-2.5%20+ years★★☆☆☆
Suburban Condo1-2%2-2.5%25-30 years★☆☆☆☆


Real Investment Scenarios: Case Studies

Case Study 1: The Strategic Prime Location Investor

Profile: 40-year-old investor with $1.5 million capital, 15-year investment horizon, seeking diversification and wealth preservation.

Investment Decision: Purchase a $1.2 million new launch condominium in Orchard/Marina Bay area.

Financial Analysis:

  • Purchase Price: $1,200,000
  • ABSD (60%): $720,000
  • Total Acquisition Costs: $750,000
  • Remaining Capital: $750,000
  • Annual Appreciation (5%): $60,000
  • Annual Rental Income (3% gross, 75% net): $27,000
  • Annual Holding Costs: -$8,000
  • Net Annual Return: $79,000 (6.6% on original investment)
  • 15-Year Total Appreciation: $900,000
  • 15-Year Total Rental Income: $405,000
  • Property Value After 15 Years: $2,100,000
  • Total Profit: $1,305,000 (87% ROI)

Verdict: VIABLE. The combination of strong appreciation in a prime location plus consistent rental income creates compelling returns that justify the 60% ABSD. The investor breaks even on ABSD in year 9 and achieves 87% total ROI over 15 years. This assumes stable rental demand and consistent appreciation—reasonable assumptions for prime central locations.

Key Success Factors: Newly launched property in prime location, strong rental demand from expatriates, limited supply supporting appreciation, 15-year investment horizon allowing time for appreciation to compound.

Case Study 2: The Suburban Value Seeker (What NOT to Do)

Profile: 35-year-old investor with $800,000 capital, 10-year investment horizon, seeking affordability and rental income.

Investment Decision: Purchase a $600,000 condominium in Jurong/Bukit Panjang area.

Tags:Singapore PropertyForeign Buyers

Follow Homejourney

Get the latest property insights and tips

Disclaimer

The information provided in this article is for general reference only. For accurate and official information, please visit HDB's official website or consult professional advice from lawyers, real estate agents, bankers, and other relevant professional consultants.

Homejourney is not liable for any damages, losses, or consequences that may result from the use of this information. We are simply sharing information to the best of our knowledge, but we make no representations or warranties of any kind, express or implied, about the completeness, accuracy, reliability, suitability or availability of the information contained herein.